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Tournament Predictions

2016 Winter Nationals Predictions

The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the USTA TennisLink website: BG18-16 & BG14-12.

Related Content: Pre-Tournament Ratings, Post-Tournament Analysis

Boys' 18 Singles B16 B14 B12 G18 G16 G14 G12
  Initial Predictions | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | QF | SF |  
UPSETSPrevious
Round
Totals Through
Prev. Round
Current
Round
Upsets by RatingHigher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches1127
Predicted Upsets031
Actual Upsets027
Difference0+4 
Seeded UpsetsHigher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches189
Predicted Upsets024
Actual Upsets017
Difference0+7 
Draw
Line
SeedSt. Player Name2nd
Round
3rd
Round
4th
Round
Quarter
Finals
Semi
Finals
FinalsWIN
176R. Seggerman ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔² ✔ 
1127R. Maciag ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔² ✔³ ✔ 
4116J. Brooksby ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔¹ ✔¹
7215S. Mermersky ✔  ✔  ✔² ✔² ✔²
8417B. Crane ✔  ✔  ✔¹ ✔¹
1282R. Ciamarra ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔ 
498M. Lord ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔ 
1317T. Hilderbrand ✔  ✔  ✔¹ ✔ 
333M. Beiler ✔  ✔  ✔ 
964M. Freeman ✔  ✔  ✔ 
517C. Haskins ✔  ✔  ✔³
259I. Thamma ✔  ✔  ✔ 
5712B. Duo ✔  ✔  ✔ 
97 J. Pratt ✔  ✔¹ ✔ 
7617J. Sands ✔  ✔  ✔ 
11617M. Kiger ✔  ✔  ✔³
11A. Brown ✔  ✔ 
8810J. Allen ✔  ✔ 
2117H. Walker ✔  ✔ 
12013A. Huryn ✔  ✔ 
6817B. Pelletier ✔  ✔ 
6117C. Russell ✔  ✔ 
914W. Peters ✔  ✔ 
32 A. Ton ✔  ✔ 
79 J. Katzman ✔³ ✔ 
55 R. Fu ✔  ✔³
9217J. Kast ✔  ✔ 
123 E. Morris ✔³ ✔²
39 S. Chari ✔² ✔³
47 C. Hassey ✔  ✔ 
101 W. Saiga ✔  ✔³
106 M. Ferreira ✔² ✔³
10411J. Lui ✔ 
3 J. Ignatowich ✔ 
60 K. Zhu ✔ 
5317P. Conklin ✔ 
12 J. Fishkin ✔²
122 M. Iwahiro ✔ 
10017K. Ma ✔ 
74 N. Oberg ✔ 
64 K. Vardanyan ✔ 
125 A. Whitehouse ✔ 
118 K. Perera ✔ 
3717C. Wilson ✔ 
77 B. Draheim ✔ 
10817F. Talcott ✔²
86 W. Harper ✔ 
93 D. Harris ✔ 
89 D. Nuzhny ✔ 
43 N. Larichev ✔ 
27 H. Cassone ✔ 
23 B. Stringfellow ✔ 
109 R. Cory ✔²
82 M. Meier ✔²
46 P. Gota ✔³
66 A. Lutschaunig ✔ 
114 N. Dufort ✔²
36 J. Scotty ✔ 
70 J. Jones ✔ 
15 J. Lee ✔²
51 C. Grande ✔²
30 J. Walsh ✔³
8 A. Exsted ✔ 
19 G. Conron ✔²
805C. Alshon
11 B. Goldberg
103 M. Tsolakyan
2 B. Lam
34 B. Frye
6 S. Sarkar
22 E. Hahn
75 C. Easterling
81 C. Gromley
50 P. Sklenka
105 B. Gollin
31 D. Singerman
12417C. Ross
113 B. Johnston
107 A. Redding
40 M. Sun
71 D. Pellerito
62 H. Cacciatore
26 N. Arimilli
2917E. Prost
54 A. Abbrat
67 J. Pulliam
127 B. Freestone
83 A. Sraberg
117 R. Benkaim
90 C. Shick
4517B. Gajardo
110 C. Sharton
59 A. Wesbrooks
20 H. Harrison
52 J. Edelchik
38 C. Erwin
85 P. Kumar
94 A. Rogers
56 A. Guzhva
115 L. Bellamy
58 R. Sardana
10 W. Hamilton
28 S. Lalovic
42 B. Jacobson
95 M. Kurzban
4 J. Randall
78 G. Spencer
87 R.J. Sands
121 J. Jhattu
91 C. Krimbill
16 D. Landa
119 D. Levitt
63 I. Yi
65 J. Akagi-Okuma
24 N. Ramirez
98 J. Bloss
111 C. Genschaw
18 J. Keitelman
7 A. Hammitt
102 A. Arocho
69 J. Bortnick
48 C. Biernat
35 N. Meister
14 M. Michibata
44 W. Zordani
126 A. Wen
73 J. Dennen
99 R. Richardson
✔  denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player
The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.
 

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Page updated on Wednesday, July 26, 2017 at 12:25:51 AM
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