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Tournament Predictions

2016 Wimbledon Predictions

The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the official Wimbledon website.
 
Boys' Singles Girls' Singles Men's Singles Women's Singles
  Initial Predictions | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | QF | SF |  
UPSETSPrevious
Round
Totals Through
Prev. Round
Current
Round
Upsets by RatingHigher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches163
Predicted Upsets019
Actual Upsets114
Difference-1 +5 
Seeded UpsetsHigher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches145
Predicted Upsets115
Actual Upsets09
Difference+1 +6 
Draw
Line
SeedNat. Player Name2nd
Round
3rd
Round
Quarter
Finals
Semi
Finals
FinalsWIN
325D. Shapovalov ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔¹ ✔¹ ✔²
337A. De Minaur ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔¹ ✔¹
11S. Tsitsipas ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔ 
642U. Blanch ✔² ✔  ✔  ✔²
483F. Auger-Aliassime ✔  ✔  ✔ 
174M. Valkusz ✔  ✔  ✔ 
498G. Blancaneaux ✔  ✔  ✔²
911D. Karimov ✔  ✔  ✔³
5612M. Kecmanovic ✔  ✔ 
38 D. Altmaier ✔  ✔¹
166Y. Watanuki ✔  ✔ 
2510Y. Chung ✔  ✔ 
60 K. Sultanov ✔  ✔¹
2416J. McNally ✔  ✔ 
7 E. Furness ✔³ ✔ 
42 P. Matuszewski ✔³ ✔ 
46 N. Kuhn ✔ 
5715Y. Wu ✔ 
35 E. Dalla Valle ✔ 
409G. Olivieri ✔²
22 B. Ellis ✔ 
53 T. Wu ✔²
11 J. Clarke ✔ 
51 R. Storrie ✔²
28 E. Guell Bartrina ✔ 
13 L. Kazakov ✔ 
3 V. Kirkov ✔ 
44 F. Rodrigues Alves ✔ 
62 E. Moore ✔²
5 B. Draper ✔²
19 L. Hammond ✔²
30 F. Bass ✔²
63 C. Ruud
31 W. Blumberg
34 K. Raisma
29 M. Moeller
55 A. Davidovich Fokina
813B. Sigouin
52 JJ Wolf
15 E. Benchetrit
39 L. Tessa
45 S. Riffice
10 L. Wessels
36 T. Horie
4114J. Rodionov
59 P. Kotov
54 A. Popyrin
26 K. Zuk
23 R. Balzerani
27 Y. Hossam
14 N. Ponwith
12 T. Etcheverry
4 G. Decamps
18 M. Siimar
61 E. Kirkin
20 D. Added
50 Y. Shimizu
21 A. Tang
47 A. Gray
6 A. Ayeni
37 M. Stewart
58 T. Ruehl
2 A. Canter
43 A. McHugh
✔  denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player
The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.
 

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Page updated on Monday, July 25, 2016 at 9:16:13 AM
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