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Tournament Predictions

2016 US Open Predictions
The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the official US Open website.
 
Boys' Singles Girls' Singles Men's Singles Women's Singles
  Initial Predictions | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | QF | SF |  
UPSETSPrevious
Round
Totals Through
Prev. Round
Current
Round
Upsets by RatingHigher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches163
Predicted Upsets018
Actual Upsets119
Difference-1 -1 
Seeded UpsetsHigher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches142
Predicted Upsets012
Actual Upsets110
Difference-1 +2 
Draw
Line
SeedNat. Player Name2nd
Round
3rd
Round
Quarter
Finals
Semi
Finals
FinalsWIN
326F. Auger-Aliassime ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔³ ✔³
495M. Kecmanovic ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔ 
11S. Tsitsipas ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔ 
337Y. Watanuki ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔ 
5713N. Kuhn ✔  ✔  ✔ 
46 K. Sultanov ✔  ✔³ ✔²
911K. Raisma ✔  ✔  ✔ 
21 P. Kypson ✔  ✔  ✔²
43 C. Moutet ✔  ✔¹
814M. Moeller ✔  ✔ 
26 A. Davidovich Fokina ✔³ ✔ 
19 JJ Wolf ✔  ✔³
62 Y. Oliel ✔  ✔³
13 R. Balzerani ✔  ✔³
5612Y. Hossam ✔² ✔ 
38 S. Korda ✔² ✔²
632A. De Minaur ✔ 
174G. Blancaneaux ✔ 
483U. Blanch ✔²
35 L. Caruana ✔ 
4116L. Wessels ✔ 
168G. Olivieri ✔ 
59 S. Riffice ✔ 
39 L. Tessa ✔³
30 A. Popyrin ✔ 
3 B. Ellis ✔ 
51 B. Holt ✔ 
11 Y. Shimizu ✔²
54 A. Ayeni ✔²
27 C. Lo ✔²
6 A. Rotsaert ✔²
23 V. Dancu ✔³
47 O. Luz
2510J. McNally
55 E. Dalla Valle
409B. Sigouin
58 E. Benchetrit
2415Y. Wu
20 A. Guerrieri
37 R. Storrie
15 G. Ross
28 R. Molleker
50 T. Horie
2 O. Crawford
53 T. Wu
5 E. Guell Bartrina
12 V. Kirkov
7 K. Zuk
36 D. Vale
29 L. Kazakov
18 G. Decamps
31 N. Ponwith
44 Z. Clark
34 T. Bryde
10 A. Gray
45 J. Eriksson Ziverts
61 J. Aguilar
4 F. Rodrigues Alves
60 P. Matuszewski
42 A. Lim
14 C. Bittoun Kouzmine
52 E. Kirkin
64 L. Greif
22 Y. Kikuchi
✔  denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player
The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.
 

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Page updated on Wednesday, July 26, 2017 at 10:47:29 AM
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