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Tournament Predictions

2016 Roland Garros Predictions
The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the official Roland-Garros website.
 
Boys' Singles Girls' Singles Men's Singles Women's Singles
  Initial Predictions | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | QF | SF |  
UPSETSPrevious
Round
Totals Through
Prev. Round
Current
Round
Upsets by RatingHigher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches163
Predicted Upsets019
Actual Upsets116
Difference-1 +3 
Seeded UpsetsHigher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches139
Predicted Upsets013
Actual Upsets114
Difference-1 -1 
Draw
Line
SeedNat. Player Name2nd
Round
3rd
Round
Quarter
Finals
Semi
Finals
FinalsWIN
18 G. Blancaneaux ✔³ ✔  ✔² ✔  ✔³ ✔³
5611F. Auger-Aliassime ✔  ✔  ✔¹ ✔  ✔ 
165D. Shapovalov ✔  ✔  ✔  ✔¹
36 N. Kuhn ✔  ✔³ ✔  ✔ 
11S. Tsitsipas ✔  ✔  ✔ 
28 B. Sigouin ✔  ✔¹ ✔ 
43 M. Moeller ✔  ✔¹ ✔ 
5714G. Olivieri ✔  ✔² ✔³
642M. Valkusz ✔  ✔ 
99M. Kecmanovic ✔  ✔ 
22 C. Moutet ✔  ✔¹
498D. Karimov ✔  ✔ 
30 A. Popyrin ✔  ✔³
37 G. Ross ✔  ✔³
7 N. Ponwith ✔³ ✔²
45 A. Lim ✔  ✔³
336A. De Minaur ✔ 
4010C. Ruud ✔ 
54 O. Luz ✔ 
483U. Blanch ✔ 
327Y. Chung ✔ 
14 P. Rikl ✔ 
2415J. McNally ✔ 
59 E. Benchetrit ✔ 
4113Y. Wu ✔ 
19 L. Wessels ✔ 
2512J. Rodionov ✔²
5 B. Ellis ✔²
52 Y. Oliel ✔²
11 R. Balzerani ✔ 
3 V. Vacherot ✔ 
61 J. Aguilar ✔²
174Y. Watanuki
2 D. Altmaier
51 K. Raisma
21 K. Sultanov
55 JJ Wolf
50 L. Caruana
62 B. Holt
13 S. Riffice
26 V. Kirkov
53 L. Tessa
6 A. Davidovich Fokina
60 E. Guell Bartrina
47 D. Vale
23 P. Kotov
39 E. Furness
20 R. Storrie
10 T. Horie
42 J. Clarke
816Y. Hossam
35 K. Zuk
44 G. Decamps
34 T. Etcheverry
63 M. Martineau
58 E. Kirkin
29 D. Added
12 P. Matuszewski
38 Y. Shimizu
31 F. Rodrigues Alves
46 C. Bittoun Kouzmine
15 M. Broville
27 F. Vittar
4 R. Wagner
✔  denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player
The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.
 

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Page updated on Monday, July 25, 2016 at 9:16:13 AM
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